Applied Forecasting: Part Deux

Presently, many decision-makers view cyber forecasting as little more than creative brainstorming. Useful for discussion, not for decisions. As a result, they rarely ask CTI teams for forecasts, and when they do, they often don’t rely on them.

Unlike weather forecasting-which earned trust through decades of rigor, and measured improvement-cyber forecasts often lack repeatable process, clear uncertainty framing, and demonstrated accuracy that builds confidence for decision-makers. This session explores why this is the case, and how to close that trust gap.

Building on Gert-Jan Bruggink’s 2022 CTI summit “Applied Forecasting” presentation, this year he teams up with Lincoln Kaffenberger to share their combined, hands-on experience in forecasting. Breaking down what actually works in practice and what doesn’t.